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Financial Analysis & Planning

The Iceberg of Your Business: Where the Biggest Financial Risks Really Hide

The Iceberg of Your Business: Where the Biggest Financial Risks Really Hide

Are you managing incurred costs or committed costs? A CFO explains why 80% of expenses are locked in at the design phase. Lessons from Ford, Boeing, and Dell on TCO.
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02.11.2025Tags: Business Management, Corporate Culture, Critical Thinking, Financial analysis, Financial Planning, Investment Analysis, Project Management, Strategic Planning
IRR vs. NPV: Why a Popular Investment Evaluation Method Can Mislead You

IRR vs. NPV: Why a Popular Investment Evaluation Method Can Mislead You

NPV vs. IRR: Is your favorite investment metric lying to you? A CFO explains why Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is flawed and why Net Present Value (NPV) remains the only reliable criterion.
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17.10.2025Tags: Capital Budgeting, Corporate Finance, Discounted Cash Flow, Financial analysis, Internal Rate of Return, Investment Appraisal, MIRR, Net Present Value, NPV vs IRR, Reinvestment Rate
Diagram illustrating hot weather as the hidden third factor causing both increased ice cream sales and swimming accidents.

The Ice Cream Mystery: How Not to Drown in Data

Why do ice cream sales and lifeguard rescues rise together? Discover the difference between correlation and causation in this simple data analysis guide. Learn how to spot hidden factors and avoid false conclusions.
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09.10.2025Tags: Correlation Is Not Causation, Critical Thinking, Data Traps, Statistics
Фінансове моделювання

Financial Modeling: From Chaos to Clarity

Creating a financial model is not about complex Excel functions; it is a discipline and an art. In this guide, we explore how to build the "Architecture of Trust"—transparent, flexible, and robust models that investors and Boards rely on. Learn the principles of the FAST Standard and how to avoid the "ticking time bomb" of bad modeling.
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06.07.2025Tags: Budgeting, Business Management, Corporate Culture, Financial Planning, Strategic Planning
Make or Buy? How to Avoid Fatal Decisions

Make or Buy? How to Avoid Fatal Decisions

Should you manufacture or outsource? Don't rely on full production costs. Learn how to analyze relevant costs, opportunity costs, and strategic risks correctly.
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16.06.2025Tags: Absorption Costing, Business Management, Cost traps, Financial analysis, Managerial Accounting, Variable Costing
Special Orders: Should You Accept a Price Below Production Cost?

Special Orders: Should You Accept a Price Below Production Cost?

Should you accept a special order below full cost? A real-world manufacturing case study analyzing relevant costs, contribution margin, and strategic risks.
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08.06.2025Tags: Contribution Margin, Cost Analysis, Idle Capacity, Managerial Accounting, Manufacturing Finance, Pricing Strategy, Relevant Costs
Contrast between chaotic napkin planning and a structured financial model acting as a business map

Plan = Model. If Not, It’s Just a Wish List

"Napkin planning" is dead. Discover why a financial model is the "digital twin" of your business that turns a wish list into a navigable map for growth.
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29.05.2025Tags: Budgeting, Business Management, Corporate Culture, Strategic Thinking
Фінансовий директор проводить сценарне моделювання бізнесу, використовуючи бюджет як навігаційну систему

Budgeting as a Business Navigation System: From “Shackles” to Modeling

Transform your business budgeting system from a "bureaucratic nightmare" into a strategic tool. Learn how to build a Master Budget to model future success.
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16.11.2018Tags: Budgeting, Business Management, Financial modeling, Financial Planning, Scenario planning
EBITDA: What Is It and Should You Trust This Metric?

EBITDA: What Is It and Should You Trust This Metric?

What is EBITDA? Discover why this non-GAAP metric can differ from Net Profit, why Warren Buffett criticizes it, and how to analyse it alongside Capex. A CFO's perspective.
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27.10.2018Tags: Business Management, EBITDA, Financial analysis, Ratio Analysis, Strategic Planning
Costing Traps (Part 2)

Costing Traps (Part 2)

Using Weighted Average Cost (WAC) for decisions can kill your profit. A real-world case study showing why separating variable costs is crucial for sales planning.
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04.01.2018Tags: Cost Allocation, Costing Traps, Decision Making, Financial analysis, Inventory Management, Managerial Accounting, Marginal Analysis, Profit Maximization, Variable Costing, Weighted Average Cost
Costing Traps (Part 1)

Costing Traps (Part 1)

Stop using accounting cost for business decisions. Learn how to identify Relevant Costs, ignore Sunk Costs, and avoid the "Death Spiral" in pricing and make-or-buy scenarios.
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03.01.2018Tags: Business Management, Costing Traps, Financial analysis, Managerial Accounting, Variable Costing
When Accounting Deceives: How Absorption Costing Distorts Profit

When Accounting Deceives: How Absorption Costing Distorts Profit

Why did profit go up while sales stayed flat? A detailed case study comparing Absorption Costing vs. Variable Costing. Learn how inventory build-up creates "phantom profit".
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04.12.2017Tags: Absorption Costing, Business Management, Costing Traps, Financial analysis, Financial Planning, Managerial Accounting, Variable Costing
Weighted Average Cost Is a Fiction

Weighted Average Cost Is a Fiction

Using Weighted Average Cost for decision-making is a dangerous trap. A real-world case study showing how mechanical accounting destroys profit and how to fix it.
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05.02.2010Tags: Business Management, Costing Traps, Financial analysis, Managerial Accounting, Variable Costing
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Contents

×
  • Mechanical application of correct methodologies does not guarantee correct results
    • The Production Context
    • The Cost Discrepancy
    • The Decision Dilemma
    • The Management Trap
    • The Conventional Analysis
  • The Hidden Reality
    • A New Planning Algorithm: Profit Maximization
      • Rule #1:
      • The Financial Result
      • Why This Works
      • Visualizing the Situation
      • The Trap Revealed
      • Rule #2:
→ ☰